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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, score and odds

Sunderland13% · fair 7.69
KhelKing lean68%Sunderland 13%, draw 19%, Tottenham Hotspur 68%

Draw 19% · fair 5.26

Tottenham Hotspur68% · fair 1.47
Kick-off
19:35 IST · 14:05 UK
Date
Sun, 29 Nov 2026
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Sunderland vs Spurs, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Tottenham Hotspur

  1. 68% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.47.
  2. 2.30 expected goals to 0.93: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Stadium of Light.

How they could upset it

Sunderland

  1. 13% to win plus 19% for the draw: 32% that Spurs do not win.
  2. The home crowd at Stadium of Light is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Spurs to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Spurs?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Spurs 68%, draw 19%, Sunderland 13%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.2 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
54%
Expected goals
0.93 – 2.30
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Sunderland. It closes the gap but does not erase Spurs's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    3.2 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 62% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Spurs rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeSpurs

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Sunderland vs Spurs on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Tottenham Hotspur

Accept 1.47 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.47 pays ₹147 including your stake.

Fair price1.4768%
Lay

Sunderland

Lay only at 7.69 or shorter. At 7.69, a ₹100 lay puts ₹669 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price7.6913%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Spurs

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win loses.

    83% chance1.20

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.2 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    62% chance1.61

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Sunderland 1-2 Spurs

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Sunderland

Sunderland are likely to sit in a compact shape at Stadium of Light and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well coached, with enough cutting edge to punish errors on the road at Stadium of Light. Their game is built on winning the midfield.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Spurs field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Sunderland score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Sunderland vs Spurs match preview

Sunderland's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Sunderland welcome Tottenham Hotspur in front of a home crowd, and the KhelKing numbers tilt toward Spurs. The expected-goals split (0.93 for Sunderland, 2.30 for Spurs) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 68% for Spurs. Sunderland's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Sunderland and Spurs

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Sunderland play 8 days after their match away at Villa on 21 Nov. Next they are away at Liverpool 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 12 of 38.

Spurs play 8 days after their match at home to Ipswich on 21 Nov. Next they are at home to Fulham 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 12 of 38.

They meet again at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 21 NovVilla vs SunderlandVilla Park
  2. 21 NovSpurs vs IpswichTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 29 Nov · this matchSunderland vs SpursStadium of Light
  4. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
  5. 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium

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FAQ · 10 questions

Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Sunderland vs Spurs?

KhelKing expects Tottenham Hotspur to win. The goals model rates Sunderland 13%, the draw 19% and Spurs 68%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Sunderland vs Spurs?

By our numbers: Sunderland 7.69, draw 5.26, Spurs 1.47. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

19:35 IST in India (UK date Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 14:05 UK time), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Sunderland upset Spurs in Sunderland vs Spurs?

13% to win plus 19% for the draw: 32% that Spurs do not win. The home crowd at Stadium of Light is behind them. An early goal would force Spurs to chase.

How should I trade Sunderland vs Spurs on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 1.47 or longer, or lay Sunderland at 7.69 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Sunderland fail to win; at 7.69, a ₹100 lay carries ₹669 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Sunderland vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Sunderland 13%, draw 19%, Spurs 68%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Sunderland cause an upset in Sunderland vs Spurs?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Spurs's attack. KhelKing gives Sunderland a 13% chance.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Spurs?

3.2 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 3, and a 0-0 shows up 5% of the time.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Spurs?

We rate both teams to score at 54%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 62%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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