Skip to content
KhelKing
Get ID Now

FootballPremier League · Merseyside derby

Everton vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

Everton8% · fair 12.50
KhelKing lean74%Everton 8%, draw 18%, Liverpool 74%

Draw 18% · fair 5.56

Liverpool74% · fair 1.35
Kick-off
17:30 IST · 12:00 UK
Date
Sun, 29 Nov 2026
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
TNT Sports
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Everton vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 74% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.35.
  2. 2.21 expected goals to 0.57: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Everton

  1. 8% to win plus 18% for the draw: 26% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them.
  3. It is the Merseyside derby, where form often counts for little.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Liverpool?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 74%, draw 18%, Everton 8%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 0-3, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • It is the Merseyside derby, so expect more bookings and fewer clear-cut chances.
Projected score
0-3
Half-time
0-0
Both score
39%
Expected goals
0.57 – 2.21
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Everton. It closes the gap but does not erase Liverpool's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (53% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Derby intensity

    The Merseyside derby brings added edge, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish tighter than the table suggests.

    EdgeDraw

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Everton vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.35 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.35 pays ₹135 including your stake.

Fair price1.3574%
Lay

Everton

Lay only at 12.50 or shorter. At 12.50, a ₹100 lay puts ₹1150 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price12.508%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win loses.

    90% chance1.11

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    53% chance1.89

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 0-3 Liverpool

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    11% chance9.09

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape at Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium and keep Everton penned in for long stretches.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Everton score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Everton vs Liverpool match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Liverpool travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. As the Merseyside derby, form matters less than usual, so we have pulled the two sides closer together. We project 0.57 xG for Everton and 2.21 for Liverpool. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 74% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Everton. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Everton and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 6 days after their match away at Brentford on 23 Nov. Next they are away at Villa 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 12 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Man Utd on 22 Nov. Next they are at home to Sunderland 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 12 of 38.

They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on TNT Sports.

  1. 22 NovLiverpool vs Man UtdAnfield
  2. 23 NovBrentford vs EvertonGtech Community Stadium
  3. 29 Nov · this matchEverton vs LiverpoolHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 02 DecVilla vs EvertonVilla Park
  5. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Everton and Liverpool

Back or lay in-play

Trade this match on your KhelKing ID

Cricket, football and tennis on one ID, with 24/7 WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. Fix a budget before you play.

Sign upFull match schedule

18+ only · Play responsibly

Browse every prediction

FAQ · 10 questions

Everton vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Ask support on WhatsApp

Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Everton 8%, the draw 18% and Liverpool 74%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 0-3, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 15%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Everton 12.50, draw 5.56, Liverpool 1.35. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Everton vs Liverpool kick off in India?

17:30 IST in India (UK date Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 12:00 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Liverpool in Everton vs Liverpool?

8% to win plus 18% for the draw: 26% that Liverpool do not win. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them. It is the Merseyside derby, where form often counts for little.

How should I trade Everton vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.35 or longer, or lay Everton at 12.50 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 12.50, a ₹100 lay carries ₹1150 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Everton 8%, draw 18%, Liverpool 74%. Sabse sambhavit score 0-3 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Everton cause an upset in Everton vs Liverpool?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Liverpool's attack. KhelKing gives Everton a 8% chance.

Is it legal to bet on Everton vs Liverpool in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Where can I watch Everton vs Liverpool?

UK viewers can watch on TNT Sports. Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.