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FootballPremier League · Merseyside derby

Liverpool vs Everton Prediction, score and odds

Liverpool85% · fair 1.18
KhelKing lean85%Liverpool 85%, draw 11%, Everton 4%

Draw 11% · fair 9.09

Everton4% · fair 25.00
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 30 Jan 2027
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Liverpool vs Everton, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 85% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.18.
  2. 2.87 expected goals to 0.49: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Everton

  1. 4% to win plus 11% for the draw: 15% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. It is the Merseyside derby, where form often counts for little.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Everton?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 85%, draw 11%, Everton 4%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 3-0, with goals expected (3.4 xG).
  • It is the Merseyside derby, so expect more bookings and fewer clear-cut chances.
Projected score
3-0
Half-time
1-0
Both score
36%
Expected goals
2.87 – 0.49
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeLiverpool

  2. Expected goals

    3.4 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 65% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Derby intensity

    The Merseyside derby brings added edge, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish tighter than the table suggests.

    EdgeDraw

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Everton on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.18 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.18 pays ₹118 including your stake.

Fair price1.1885%
Lay

Everton

Lay only at 25.00 or shorter. At 25.00, a ₹100 lay puts ₹2400 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price25.004%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win loses.

    96% chance1.04

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.4 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    65% chance1.54

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 3-0 Everton

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    14% chance7.14

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession at Anfield and keep Everton penned in for long stretches.

Away

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape on the road at Anfield and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Everton score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Liverpool vs Everton match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Everton travel to Anfield for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. As the Merseyside derby, form matters less than usual, so we have pulled the two sides closer together. We project 2.87 xG for Liverpool and 0.49 for Everton. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 85% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Everton. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Everton

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match away at Man Utd on 23 Jan. Next they are away at Arsenal 7 days after this game. Premier League game 23 of 38.

Everton play 7 days after their match at home to Brentford on 23 Jan. Next they are at home to Newcastle 7 days after this game. Premier League game 23 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sun, 29 Nov 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 23 JanMan Utd vs LiverpoolOld Trafford
  2. 23 JanEverton vs BrentfordHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 30 Jan · this matchLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
  4. 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolEmirates Stadium
  5. 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium

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FAQ · 10 questions

Liverpool vs Everton FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Liverpool vs Everton?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 85%, the draw 11% and Everton 4%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Everton?

Our projected score is 3-0, with 1-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 14%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Everton?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.18, draw 9.09, Everton 25.00. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Liverpool vs Everton kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 30 Jan 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Everton?

4% to win plus 11% for the draw: 15% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. It is the Merseyside derby, where form often counts for little.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Everton on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.18 or longer, or lay Everton at 25.00 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 25.00, a ₹100 lay carries ₹2400 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Everton match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 85%, draw 11%, Everton 4%. Sabse sambhavit score 3-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Everton cause an upset in Liverpool vs Everton?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Liverpool's attack. KhelKing gives Everton a 4% chance.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Everton?

3.4 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 4% of the time.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Everton?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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