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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction, score and odds

Everton18% · fair 5.56
KhelKing lean61%Everton 18%, draw 21%, Newcastle United 61%

Draw 21% · fair 4.76

Newcastle United61% · fair 1.64
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 06 Feb 2027
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Everton vs Newcastle, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Newcastle United

  1. 61% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.64.
  2. 2.07 expected goals to 1.03: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium.

How they could upset it

Everton

  1. 18% to win plus 21% for the draw: 39% that Newcastle do not win.
  2. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Newcastle?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Newcastle 61%, draw 21%, Everton 18%: a clear lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.1 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
56%
Expected goals
1.03 – 2.07
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Everton. It closes the gap but does not erase Newcastle's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 60% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Newcastle rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeNewcastle

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Everton vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Newcastle United

Accept 1.64 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.64 pays ₹164 including your stake.

Fair price1.6461%
Lay

Everton

Lay only at 5.56 or shorter. At 5.56, a ₹100 lay puts ₹456 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price5.5618%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Newcastle

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win loses.

    77% chance1.30

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 56% of the time in our simulations.

    56% chance1.79

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 1-2 Newcastle

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape at Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium by controlling the middle of the pitch.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Newcastle field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Everton score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Everton vs Newcastle match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Newcastle United travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a clear lean. We project 1.03 xG for Everton and 2.07 for Newcastle. Over thousands of simulated games, Newcastle come out on top in 61% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Everton. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Everton and Newcastle

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 7 days after their match away at Liverpool on 30 Jan. Next they are at home to Leeds 4 days after this game. Premier League game 24 of 38.

Newcastle play 7 days after their match at home to Brighton on 30 Jan. Next they are at home to Chelsea 4 days after this game. Premier League game 24 of 38.

The two clubs already met at St James' Park on Mon, 02 Nov 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
  2. 30 JanNewcastle vs BrightonSt James' Park
  3. 06 Feb · this matchEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 10 FebNewcastle vs ChelseaSt James' Park

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Everton vs Newcastle United FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?

KhelKing expects Newcastle United to win. The goals model rates Everton 18%, the draw 21% and Newcastle 61%, which we grade as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Newcastle United?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Newcastle?

By our numbers: Everton 5.56, draw 4.76, Newcastle 1.64. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Everton vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 06 Feb 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Newcastle in Everton vs Newcastle?

18% to win plus 21% for the draw: 39% that Newcastle do not win. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

How should I trade Everton vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Newcastle United at 1.64 or longer, or lay Everton at 5.56 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 5.56, a ₹100 lay carries ₹456 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Everton 18%, draw 21%, Newcastle 61%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Everton vs Newcastle?

3.1 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 3, and a 0-0 shows up 5% of the time.

Is it legal to bet on Everton vs Newcastle in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Can Everton cause an upset in Everton vs Newcastle?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Newcastle's attack. KhelKing gives Everton a 18% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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