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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction, score and odds

Newcastle United85% · fair 1.18
KhelKing lean85%Newcastle United 85%, draw 11%, Everton 4%

Draw 11% · fair 9.09

Everton4% · fair 25.00
Kick-off
01:30 IST, next day · 20:00 UK
Date
Mon, 02 Nov 2026
Venue
St James' Park, Newcastle
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Newcastle vs Everton, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Newcastle United

  1. 85% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.18.
  2. 2.82 expected goals to 0.48: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at St James' Park, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Everton

  1. 4% to win plus 11% for the draw: 15% that Newcastle do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Newcastle 85%, draw 11%, Everton 4%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 3-0, with goals expected (3.3 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 36% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
3-0
Half-time
1-0
Both score
36%
Expected goals
2.82 – 0.48
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Newcastle are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeNewcastle

  2. Expected goals

    3.3 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 64% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Newcastle rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 11%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeNewcastle

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Newcastle vs Everton on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Newcastle United

Accept 1.18 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.18 pays ₹118 including your stake.

Fair price1.1885%
Lay

Everton

Lay only at 25.00 or shorter. At 25.00, a ₹100 lay puts ₹2400 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price25.004%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Newcastle

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win loses.

    95% chance1.05

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.3 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    64% chance1.56

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Newcastle 3-0 Everton

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    14% chance7.14

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Newcastle United

Newcastle are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results at St James' Park by controlling the middle of the pitch.

Away

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape on the road at St James' Park and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Newcastle field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Everton score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Newcastle vs Everton match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Everton travel to St James' Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. We project 2.82 xG for Newcastle and 0.48 for Everton. Over thousands of simulated games, Newcastle come out on top in 85% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Everton. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Newcastle and Everton

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Newcastle play 8 days after their match away at Palace on 25 Oct. Next they are away at Fulham 5 days after this game. Premier League game 9 of 38.

Everton play 9 days after their match away at Arsenal on 24 Oct. Next they are at home to Coventry 4 days after this game. Premier League game 9 of 38.

They meet again at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 24 OctArsenal vs EvertonEmirates Stadium
  2. 25 OctPalace vs NewcastleSelhurst Park
  3. 02 Nov · this matchNewcastle vs EvertonSt James' Park
  4. 06 NovEverton vs CoventryHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 07 NovFulham vs NewcastleCraven Cottage

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Newcastle United vs Everton FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?

KhelKing expects Newcastle United to win. The goals model rates Newcastle 85%, the draw 11% and Everton 4%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Everton?

Our projected score is 3-0, with 1-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 15%.

What are the fair odds for Newcastle vs Everton?

By our numbers: Newcastle 1.18, draw 9.09, Everton 25.00. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Newcastle United vs Everton kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day in India (UK date Mon, 02 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Newcastle in Newcastle vs Everton?

4% to win plus 11% for the draw: 15% that Newcastle do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

How should I trade Newcastle vs Everton on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Newcastle United at 1.18 or longer, or lay Everton at 25.00 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 25.00, a ₹100 lay carries ₹2400 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Newcastle vs Everton match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Newcastle 85%, draw 11%, Everton 4%. Sabse sambhavit score 3-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Everton cause an upset in Newcastle vs Everton?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Newcastle's attack. KhelKing gives Everton a 4% chance.

Is it legal to bet on Newcastle vs Everton in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Everton?

3.3 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 4% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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