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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

Arsenal37% · fair 2.70
KhelKing lean37%Arsenal 37%, draw 28%, Liverpool 35%

Draw 28% · fair 3.57

Liverpool35% · fair 2.86
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 06 Feb 2027
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Arsenal vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Arsenal

  1. 37% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 2.70.
  2. 1.35 expected goals to 1.31: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Emirates Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Liverpool

  1. 35% to win plus 28% for the draw: 63% that Arsenal do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Arsenal to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Liverpool?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Arsenal 37%, draw 28%, Liverpool 35%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
54%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.31
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Arsenal are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeArsenal

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (49% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Draw risk

    A 28% draw chance is high by Premier League standards, which is why our anchor bet protects against the draw instead of backing a straight win.

    EdgeDraw

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Arsenal vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Arsenal

Accept 2.70 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.70 pays ₹270 including your stake.

Fair price2.7037%
Lay

Liverpool

Lay only at 2.86 or shorter. At 2.86, a ₹100 lay puts ₹186 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.8635%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Double chance

    Arsenal or draw

    Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Liverpool win loses.

    65% chance1.54

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

    72% chance1.39

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Arsenal 2-1 Liverpool

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    8% chance12.50

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Arsenal

Arsenal carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents at Emirates Stadium, so Liverpool will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents on the road at Emirates Stadium, so Arsenal will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Arsenal field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Liverpool score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Arsenal vs Liverpool match preview

Liverpool's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Arsenal welcome Liverpool in front of a home crowd, and the KhelKing numbers tilt toward Arsenal. The expected-goals split (1.35 for Arsenal, 1.31 for Liverpool) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 37% for Arsenal. Liverpool's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Arsenal and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Arsenal play 7 days after their match away at Man City on 30 Jan. Next they are away at Ipswich 4 days after this game. Premier League game 24 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Everton on 30 Jan. Next they are away at Coventry 4 days after this game. Premier League game 24 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Anfield on Sun, 01 Nov 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 30 JanMan City vs ArsenalEtihad Stadium
  2. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
  3. 06 Feb · this matchArsenal vs LiverpoolEmirates Stadium
  4. 10 FebIpswich vs ArsenalPortman Road
  5. 10 FebCoventry vs LiverpoolCoventry Building Society Arena

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Arsenal and Liverpool

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FAQ · 10 questions

Arsenal vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Arsenal vs Liverpool?

KhelKing expects Arsenal to win. The goals model rates Arsenal 37%, the draw 28% and Liverpool 35%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Arsenal vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Arsenal 2.70, draw 3.57, Liverpool 2.86. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Arsenal vs Liverpool kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 06 Feb 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Emirates Stadium in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Liverpool upset Arsenal in Arsenal vs Liverpool?

35% to win plus 28% for the draw: 63% that Arsenal do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Arsenal to chase.

How should I trade Arsenal vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Arsenal at 2.70 or longer, or lay Liverpool at 2.86 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Liverpool fail to win; at 2.86, a ₹100 lay carries ₹186 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Arsenal vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 37%, draw 28%, Liverpool 35%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Liverpool?

We rate both teams to score at 54%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 49%.

Where can I watch Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Can Liverpool cause an upset in Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Arsenal's attack. KhelKing gives Liverpool a 35% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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