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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction, score and odds

Liverpool63% · fair 1.59
KhelKing lean63%Liverpool 63%, draw 22%, Arsenal 15%

Draw 22% · fair 4.55

Arsenal15% · fair 6.67
Kick-off
22:00 IST · 16:30 UK
Date
Sun, 01 Nov 2026
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Liverpool vs Arsenal, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 63% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.59.
  2. 2.00 expected goals to 0.88: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Arsenal

  1. 15% to win plus 22% for the draw: 37% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 63%, draw 22%, Arsenal 15%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 51% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
51%
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.88
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeLiverpool

  2. Expected goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 55% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeLiverpool

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Arsenal on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.59 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.59 pays ₹159 including your stake.

Fair price1.5963%
Lay

Arsenal

Lay only at 6.67 or shorter. At 6.67, a ₹100 lay puts ₹567 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price6.6715%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Arsenal win loses.

    80% chance1.25

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    2.9 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    55% chance1.82

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Arsenal will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents on the road at Anfield, so Liverpool will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Arsenal score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Liverpool vs Arsenal match preview

Arsenal's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Liverpool welcome Arsenal in front of a home crowd, and the KhelKing numbers tilt toward Liverpool. The expected-goals split (2.00 for Liverpool, 0.88 for Arsenal) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 63% for Liverpool. Arsenal's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Arsenal

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Brighton on 25 Oct. Next they are away at Palace 7 days after this game. Premier League game 9 of 38.

Arsenal play 8 days after their match at home to Everton on 24 Oct. Next they are at home to Hull 6 days after this game. Premier League game 9 of 38.

They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 24 OctArsenal vs EvertonEmirates Stadium
  2. 25 OctLiverpool vs BrightonAnfield
  3. 01 Nov · this matchLiverpool vs ArsenalAnfield
  4. 07 NovArsenal vs HullEmirates Stadium
  5. 08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Liverpool and Arsenal

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FAQ · 10 questions

Liverpool vs Arsenal FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 63%, the draw 22% and Arsenal 15%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.59, draw 4.55, Arsenal 6.67. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Liverpool vs Arsenal kick off in India?

22:00 IST in India (UK date Sun, 01 Nov 2026, 16:30 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Arsenal upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

15% to win plus 22% for the draw: 37% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Arsenal on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.59 or longer, or lay Arsenal at 6.67 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Arsenal fail to win; at 6.67, a ₹100 lay carries ₹567 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Arsenal match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 63%, draw 22%, Arsenal 15%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

2.9 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 6% of the time.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

We rate both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 55%.

Is it legal to bet on Liverpool vs Arsenal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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