Skip to content
KhelKing
Get ID Now

FootballPremier League 2026/27

AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United Prediction, score and odds

AFC Bournemouth25% · fair 4.00
KhelKing lean49%AFC Bournemouth 25%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 49%

Draw 26% · fair 3.85

Newcastle United49% · fair 2.04
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 13 Mar 2027
Venue
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Bournemouth vs Newcastle, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Newcastle United

  1. 49% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 2.04.
  2. 1.68 expected goals to 1.14: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Vitality Stadium.

How they could upset it

AFC Bournemouth

  1. 25% to win plus 26% for the draw: 51% that Newcastle do not win.
  2. The home crowd at Vitality Stadium is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Newcastle 49%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 25%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 1-2, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 55% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
55%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.68
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Bournemouth. It closes the gap but does not erase Newcastle's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (53% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Quality gap

    Newcastle rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeNewcastle

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Bournemouth vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Newcastle United

Accept 2.04 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.04 pays ₹204 including your stake.

Fair price2.0449%
Lay

AFC Bournemouth

Lay only at 4.00 or shorter. At 4.00, a ₹100 lay puts ₹300 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price4.0025%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Newcastle

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Bournemouth win loses.

    66% chance1.52

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 55% of the time in our simulations.

    55% chance1.82

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Bournemouth 1-2 Newcastle

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Vitality Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results on the road at Vitality Stadium by controlling the middle of the pitch.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Newcastle field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Bournemouth score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Bournemouth vs Newcastle match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Newcastle United travel to Vitality Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a coin flip. We project 1.14 xG for Bournemouth and 1.68 for Newcastle. Over thousands of simulated games, Newcastle come out on top in 49% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Bournemouth. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Bournemouth and Newcastle

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Bournemouth play 10 days after their match at home to Spurs on 03 Mar. Next they are away at Brentford 7 days after this game. Premier League game 29 of 38.

Newcastle play 10 days after their match away at Forest on 03 Mar. Next they are at home to Leeds 7 days after this game. Premier League game 29 of 38.

The two clubs already met at St James' Park on Sat, 05 Sept 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 03 MarBournemouth vs SpursVitality Stadium
  2. 03 MarForest vs NewcastleCity Ground
  3. 13 Mar · this matchBournemouth vs NewcastleVitality Stadium
  4. 20 MarBrentford vs BournemouthGtech Community Stadium
  5. 20 MarNewcastle vs LeedsSt James' Park

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Bournemouth and Newcastle

Back or lay in-play

Trade this match on your KhelKing ID

Cricket, football and tennis on one ID, with 24/7 WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. Fix a budget before you play.

Sign upFull match schedule

18+ only · Play responsibly

Browse every prediction

FAQ · 10 questions

AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Ask support on WhatsApp

Who will win Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

KhelKing expects Newcastle United to win. The goals model rates Bournemouth 25%, the draw 26% and Newcastle 49%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

By our numbers: Bournemouth 4.00, draw 3.85, Newcastle 2.04. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 13 Mar 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Bournemouth upset Newcastle in Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

25% to win plus 26% for the draw: 51% that Newcastle do not win. The home crowd at Vitality Stadium is behind them. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

How should I trade Bournemouth vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Newcastle United at 2.04 or longer, or lay AFC Bournemouth at 4.00 or shorter. A lay wins whenever AFC Bournemouth fail to win; at 4.00, a ₹100 lay carries ₹300 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Bournemouth vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Bournemouth 25%, draw 26%, Newcastle 49%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

2.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 7% of the time.

Where can I watch Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

We rate both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 53%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.