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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Newcastle United Prediction, score and odds

Liverpool65% · fair 1.54
KhelKing lean65%Liverpool 65%, draw 22%, Newcastle United 13%

Draw 22% · fair 4.55

Newcastle United13% · fair 7.69
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 10 Apr 2027
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Liverpool vs Newcastle, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 65% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.54.
  2. 1.97 expected goals to 0.75: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Newcastle United

  1. 13% to win plus 22% for the draw: 35% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Newcastle?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 65%, draw 22%, Newcastle 13%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 45% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
45%
Expected goals
1.97 – 0.75
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeLiverpool

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (51% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeLiverpool

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.54 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.54 pays ₹154 including your stake.

Fair price1.5465%
Lay

Newcastle United

Lay only at 7.69 or shorter. At 7.69, a ₹100 lay puts ₹669 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price7.6913%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Newcastle win loses.

    83% chance1.20

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

    71% chance1.41

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 2-1 Newcastle

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Newcastle will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are well coached, with enough cutting edge to punish errors on the road at Anfield. Their game is built on winning the midfield.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Newcastle score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Liverpool vs Newcastle match preview

Newcastle's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Liverpool welcome Newcastle United in front of a home crowd, and the KhelKing numbers tilt toward Liverpool. The expected-goals split (1.97 for Liverpool, 0.75 for Newcastle) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 65% for Liverpool. Newcastle's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Newcastle

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 21 days after their match away at Fulham on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so sharpness could be lacking. Next they are away at Forest 7 days after this game. Premier League game 31 of 38.

Newcastle play 21 days after their match at home to Leeds on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so sharpness could be lacking. Next they are at home to Spurs 7 days after this game. Premier League game 31 of 38.

The two clubs already met at St James' Park on Sun, 23 Aug 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 20 MarFulham vs LiverpoolCraven Cottage
  2. 20 MarNewcastle vs LeedsSt James' Park
  3. 10 Apr · this matchLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield
  4. 17 AprForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  5. 17 AprNewcastle vs SpursSt James' Park

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Liverpool vs Newcastle United FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Liverpool vs Newcastle?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 65%, the draw 22% and Newcastle 13%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Newcastle United?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Newcastle?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.54, draw 4.55, Newcastle 7.69. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Liverpool vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 10 Apr 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Newcastle upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Newcastle?

13% to win plus 22% for the draw: 35% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.54 or longer, or lay Newcastle United at 7.69 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Newcastle United fail to win; at 7.69, a ₹100 lay carries ₹669 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 65%, draw 22%, Newcastle 13%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Newcastle cause an upset in Liverpool vs Newcastle?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Liverpool's attack. KhelKing gives Newcastle a 13% chance.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Newcastle?

2.7 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 7% of the time.

Is it legal to bet on Liverpool vs Newcastle in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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