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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

Nottingham Forest13% · fair 7.69
KhelKing lean68%Nottingham Forest 13%, draw 19%, Liverpool 68%

Draw 19% · fair 5.26

Liverpool68% · fair 1.47
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 17 Apr 2027
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Forest vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 68% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.47.
  2. 2.27 expected goals to 0.87: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to City Ground.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Nottingham Forest

  1. 13% to win plus 19% for the draw: 32% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. The home crowd at City Ground is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Liverpool?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 68%, draw 19%, Forest 13%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.1 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 52% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
52%
Expected goals
0.87 – 2.27
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Forest. It closes the gap but does not erase Liverpool's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 60% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeLiverpool

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Forest vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.47 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.47 pays ₹147 including your stake.

Fair price1.4768%
Lay

Nottingham Forest

Lay only at 7.69 or shorter. At 7.69, a ₹100 lay puts ₹669 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price7.6913%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win loses.

    84% chance1.19

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    60% chance1.67

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Forest 1-2 Liverpool

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Nottingham Forest

Forest are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at City Ground, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at City Ground and keep Forest penned in for long stretches.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Forest score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Forest vs Liverpool match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Liverpool travel to City Ground for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. We project 0.87 xG for Forest and 2.27 for Liverpool. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 68% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Forest. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Forest and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Forest play 7 days after their match away at Leeds on 10 Apr. Next they are at home to Sunderland 7 days after this game. Premier League game 32 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Newcastle on 10 Apr. Next they are away at Leeds 7 days after this game. Premier League game 32 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Anfield on Sat, 29 Aug 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 10 AprLeeds vs ForestElland Road
  2. 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield
  3. 17 Apr · this matchForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  4. 24 AprForest vs SunderlandCity Ground
  5. 24 AprLeeds vs LiverpoolElland Road

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Forest vs Liverpool?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Forest 13%, the draw 19% and Liverpool 68%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Forest 7.69, draw 5.26, Liverpool 1.47. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 17 Apr 2027, 15:00 UK time), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Forest upset Liverpool in Forest vs Liverpool?

13% to win plus 19% for the draw: 32% that Liverpool do not win. The home crowd at City Ground is behind them. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Forest vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.47 or longer, or lay Nottingham Forest at 7.69 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Nottingham Forest fail to win; at 7.69, a ₹100 lay carries ₹669 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Forest 13%, draw 19%, Liverpool 68%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Forest vs Liverpool?

We rate both teams to score at 52%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 60%.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Liverpool?

3.1 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 5% of the time.

Is it legal to bet on Forest vs Liverpool in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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