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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, score and odds

Liverpool52% · fair 1.92
KhelKing lean52%Liverpool 52%, draw 25%, Chelsea 23%

Draw 25% · fair 4.00

Chelsea23% · fair 4.35
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 01 May 2027
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Liverpool vs Chelsea, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 52% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.92.
  2. 1.69 expected goals to 1.03: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Chelsea

  1. 23% to win plus 25% for the draw: 48% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 52%, draw 25%, Chelsea 23%: a slight lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 52% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
52%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.03
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeLiverpool

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (51% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeLiverpool

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Chelsea on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.92 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.92 pays ₹192 including your stake.

Fair price1.9252%
Lay

Chelsea

Lay only at 4.35 or shorter. At 4.35, a ₹100 lay puts ₹335 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price4.3523%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Chelsea win loses.

    70% chance1.43

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

    71% chance1.41

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession at Anfield and keep Chelsea penned in for long stretches.

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents on the road at Anfield, so Liverpool will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Chelsea score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Liverpool vs Chelsea match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Chelsea travel to Anfield for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a slight lean. We project 1.69 xG for Liverpool and 1.03 for Chelsea. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 52% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Chelsea. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Chelsea

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match away at Leeds on 24 Apr. Next they are away at Man City 7 days after this game. Premier League game 34 of 38.

Chelsea play 7 days after their match at home to Man City on 24 Apr. Next they are away at Spurs 7 days after this game. Premier League game 34 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Stamford Bridge on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 24 AprLeeds vs LiverpoolElland Road
  2. 24 AprChelsea vs Man CityStamford Bridge
  3. 01 May · this matchLiverpool vs ChelseaAnfield
  4. 08 MayMan City vs LiverpoolEtihad Stadium
  5. 08 MaySpurs vs ChelseaTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Liverpool vs Chelsea FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 52%, the draw 25% and Chelsea 23%, which we grade as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.92, draw 4.00, Chelsea 4.35. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Liverpool vs Chelsea kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 01 May 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Chelsea upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

23% to win plus 25% for the draw: 48% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Chelsea on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.92 or longer, or lay Chelsea at 4.35 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Chelsea fail to win; at 4.35, a ₹100 lay carries ₹335 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Chelsea match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 52%, draw 25%, Chelsea 23%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Chelsea cause an upset in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Liverpool's attack. KhelKing gives Chelsea a 23% chance.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

2.7 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 7% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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