Skip to content
KhelKing
Get ID Now

FootballPremier League · North London derby

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, score and odds

Arsenal44% · fair 2.27
KhelKing lean44%Arsenal 44%, draw 30%, Tottenham Hotspur 26%

Draw 30% · fair 3.33

Tottenham Hotspur26% · fair 3.85
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 01 May 2027
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Arsenal vs Spurs, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Arsenal

  1. 44% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 2.27.
  2. 1.32 expected goals to 0.95: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Emirates Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Tottenham Hotspur

  1. 26% to win plus 30% for the draw: 56% that Arsenal do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. It is the North London derby, where form often counts for little.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Spurs?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Arsenal 44%, draw 30%, Spurs 26%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 2-0, with a tight, low-scoring game likely (2.3 xG).
  • It is the North London derby, so expect more bookings and fewer clear-cut chances.
Projected score
2-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
45%
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.95
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Arsenal are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeArsenal

  2. Expected goals

    At just 2.3 expected goals, the under is the natural lean, with over 2.5 landing only 40% of the time.

    EdgeFew goals

  3. Derby intensity

    The North London derby brings added edge, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish tighter than the table suggests.

    EdgeDraw

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Arsenal vs Spurs on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Arsenal

Accept 2.27 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.27 pays ₹227 including your stake.

Fair price2.2744%
Lay

Tottenham Hotspur

Lay only at 3.85 or shorter. At 3.85, a ₹100 lay puts ₹285 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price3.8526%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Double chance

    Arsenal or draw

    Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Spurs win loses.

    74% chance1.35

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

    81% chance1.23

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Arsenal 2-0 Spurs

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    9% chance11.11

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Arsenal

Arsenal carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents at Emirates Stadium, so Spurs will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well coached, with enough cutting edge to punish errors on the road at Emirates Stadium. Their game is built on winning the midfield.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Arsenal field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Spurs score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Arsenal vs Spurs match preview

Spurs's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Arsenal welcome Tottenham Hotspur in front of a home crowd, and the KhelKing numbers tilt toward Arsenal. As the North London derby, form matters less than usual, so we have pulled the two sides closer together. The expected-goals split (1.32 for Arsenal, 0.95 for Spurs) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 44% for Arsenal. Spurs's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Arsenal and Spurs

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Arsenal play 7 days after their match away at Bournemouth on 24 Apr. Next they are away at Leeds 7 days after this game. Premier League game 34 of 38.

Spurs play 7 days after their match at home to Hull on 24 Apr. Next they are at home to Chelsea 7 days after this game. Premier League game 34 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 24 AprBournemouth vs ArsenalVitality Stadium
  2. 24 AprSpurs vs HullTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 01 May · this matchArsenal vs SpursEmirates Stadium
  4. 08 MayLeeds vs ArsenalElland Road
  5. 08 MaySpurs vs ChelseaTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Arsenal and Spurs

Back or lay in-play

Trade this match on your KhelKing ID

Cricket, football and tennis on one ID, with 24/7 WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. Fix a budget before you play.

Sign upFull match schedule

18+ only · Play responsibly

Browse every prediction

FAQ · 10 questions

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Ask support on WhatsApp

Who will win Arsenal vs Spurs?

KhelKing expects Arsenal to win. The goals model rates Arsenal 44%, the draw 30% and Spurs 26%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our projected score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 14%.

What are the fair odds for Arsenal vs Spurs?

By our numbers: Arsenal 2.27, draw 3.33, Spurs 3.85. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 01 May 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Emirates Stadium in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Spurs upset Arsenal in Arsenal vs Spurs?

26% to win plus 30% for the draw: 56% that Arsenal do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. It is the North London derby, where form often counts for little.

How should I trade Arsenal vs Spurs on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Arsenal at 2.27 or longer, or lay Tottenham Hotspur at 3.85 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Tottenham Hotspur fail to win; at 3.85, a ₹100 lay carries ₹285 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Arsenal vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 44%, draw 30%, Spurs 26%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Spurs cause an upset in Arsenal vs Spurs?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Arsenal's attack. KhelKing gives Spurs a 26% chance.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Spurs?

We rate both teams to score at 45%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 40%.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Spurs?

2.3 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 11% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.