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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Aston Villa vs Hull City Prediction, score and odds

Aston Villa71% · fair 1.41
KhelKing lean71%Aston Villa 71%, draw 19%, Hull City 10%

Draw 19% · fair 5.26

Hull City10% · fair 10.00
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 13 Mar 2027
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Villa vs Hull, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Aston Villa

  1. 71% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.41.
  2. 2.28 expected goals to 0.74: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Villa Park, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  1. 10% to win plus 19% for the draw: 29% that Villa do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Villa vs Hull?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Villa 71%, draw 19%, Hull 10%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 3-0, with goals expected (3.0 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 47% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
3-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
47%
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.74
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Villa are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeVilla

  2. Expected goals

    3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 58% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Villa rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeVilla

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Villa vs Hull on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Aston Villa

Accept 1.41 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.41 pays ₹141 including your stake.

Fair price1.4171%
Lay

Hull City

Lay only at 10.00 or shorter. At 10.00, a ₹100 lay puts ₹900 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price10.0010%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Villa

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

    87% chance1.15

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    58% chance1.72

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Villa 3-0 Hull

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Aston Villa

Villa are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results at Villa Park by controlling the middle of the pitch.

Away · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block on the road at Villa Park, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Villa field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Hull score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Villa vs Hull match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Hull City travel to Villa Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. We project 2.28 xG for Villa and 0.74 for Hull. Over thousands of simulated games, Villa come out on top in 71% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Villa and Hull

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Villa play 10 days after their match away at Liverpool on 03 Mar. Next they are away at Forest 7 days after this game. Premier League game 29 of 38.

Hull play 10 days after their match away at Leeds on 03 Mar. Next they are at home to Chelsea 7 days after this game. Premier League game 29 of 38.

The two clubs already met at MKM Stadium on Sat, 05 Sept 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 03 MarLiverpool vs VillaAnfield
  2. 03 MarLeeds vs HullElland Road
  3. 13 Mar · this matchVilla vs HullVilla Park
  4. 20 MarForest vs VillaCity Ground
  5. 20 MarHull vs ChelseaMKM Stadium

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Villa and Hull

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FAQ · 10 questions

Aston Villa vs Hull City FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Villa vs Hull?

KhelKing expects Aston Villa to win. The goals model rates Villa 71%, the draw 19% and Hull 10%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Hull City?

Our projected score is 3-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Villa vs Hull?

By our numbers: Villa 1.41, draw 5.26, Hull 10.00. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Aston Villa vs Hull City kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 13 Mar 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Villa Park in Birmingham. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Villa in Villa vs Hull?

10% to win plus 19% for the draw: 29% that Villa do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Villa vs Hull on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Aston Villa at 1.41 or longer, or lay Hull City at 10.00 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 10.00, a ₹100 lay carries ₹900 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Villa vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Aston Villa aage hain: Villa 71%, draw 19%, Hull 10%. Sabse sambhavit score 3-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is it legal to bet on Villa vs Hull in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Will both teams score in Villa vs Hull?

We rate both teams to score at 47%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 58%.

Where can I watch Villa vs Hull?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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