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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United Prediction, score and odds

Nottingham Forest22% · fair 4.55
KhelKing lean54%Nottingham Forest 22%, draw 24%, Newcastle United 54%

Draw 24% · fair 4.17

Newcastle United54% · fair 1.85
Kick-off
01:30 IST, next day · 20:00 UK
Date
Wed, 03 Mar 2027
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Forest vs Newcastle, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Newcastle United

  1. 54% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.85.
  2. 1.81 expected goals to 1.07: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to City Ground.

How they could upset it

Nottingham Forest

  1. 22% to win plus 24% for the draw: 46% that Newcastle do not win.
  2. The home crowd at City Ground is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Newcastle?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Newcastle 54%, draw 24%, Forest 22%: a slight lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 55% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
55%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.81
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Forest. It closes the gap but does not erase Newcastle's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 55% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Newcastle rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeNewcastle

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Forest vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Newcastle United

Accept 1.85 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.85 pays ₹185 including your stake.

Fair price1.8554%
Lay

Nottingham Forest

Lay only at 4.55 or shorter. At 4.55, a ₹100 lay puts ₹355 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price4.5522%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Newcastle

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win loses.

    71% chance1.41

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 55% of the time in our simulations.

    55% chance1.82

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Forest 1-2 Newcastle

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Nottingham Forest

Forest are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at City Ground, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results on the road at City Ground by controlling the middle of the pitch.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Newcastle field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Forest score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Forest vs Newcastle match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Newcastle United travel to City Ground for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a slight lean. We project 1.07 xG for Forest and 1.81 for Newcastle. Over thousands of simulated games, Newcastle come out on top in 54% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Forest. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Forest and Newcastle

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Forest play 4 days after their match away at Everton on 27 Feb. Next they are away at Spurs 10 days after this game. Premier League game 28 of 38.

Newcastle play 4 days after their match at home to Brentford on 27 Feb. Next they are away at Bournemouth 10 days after this game. Premier League game 28 of 38.

The two clubs already met at St James' Park on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 27 FebEverton vs ForestHill Dickinson Stadium
  2. 27 FebNewcastle vs BrentfordSt James' Park
  3. 03 Mar · this matchForest vs NewcastleCity Ground
  4. 13 MarSpurs vs ForestTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 13 MarBournemouth vs NewcastleVitality Stadium

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Forest and Newcastle

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FAQ · 10 questions

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Forest vs Newcastle?

KhelKing expects Newcastle United to win. The goals model rates Forest 22%, the draw 24% and Newcastle 54%, which we grade as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Newcastle?

By our numbers: Forest 4.55, draw 4.17, Newcastle 1.85. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day in India (UK date Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 20:00 UK time), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Forest upset Newcastle in Forest vs Newcastle?

22% to win plus 24% for the draw: 46% that Newcastle do not win. The home crowd at City Ground is behind them. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

How should I trade Forest vs Newcastle on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Newcastle United at 1.85 or longer, or lay Nottingham Forest at 4.55 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Nottingham Forest fail to win; at 4.55, a ₹100 lay carries ₹355 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Forest 22%, draw 24%, Newcastle 54%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Forest vs Newcastle?

We rate both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 55%.

Is it legal to bet on Forest vs Newcastle in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Newcastle?

2.9 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 6% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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