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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Prediction, score and odds

Sunderland18% · fair 5.56
KhelKing lean59%Sunderland 18%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 59%

Draw 23% · fair 4.35

Crystal Palace59% · fair 1.69
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Sunderland vs Palace, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Crystal Palace

  1. 59% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.69.
  2. 1.97 expected goals to 0.99: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Stadium of Light.

How they could upset it

Sunderland

  1. 18% to win plus 23% for the draw: 41% that Palace do not win.
  2. The home crowd at Stadium of Light is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Palace to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Palace?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Palace 59%, draw 23%, Sunderland 18%: a clear lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.0 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
54%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.97
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Sunderland. It closes the gap but does not erase Palace's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 56% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Palace rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgePalace

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Sunderland vs Palace on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Crystal Palace

Accept 1.69 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.69 pays ₹169 including your stake.

Fair price1.6959%
Lay

Sunderland

Lay only at 5.56 or shorter. At 5.56, a ₹100 lay puts ₹456 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price5.5618%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Palace

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win loses.

    77% chance1.30

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    56% chance1.79

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Sunderland 1-2 Palace

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Sunderland

Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Stadium of Light, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Crystal Palace

Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at Stadium of Light, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Palace field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Sunderland score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Sunderland vs Palace match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Crystal Palace travel to Stadium of Light for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a clear lean. We project 0.99 xG for Sunderland and 1.97 for Palace. Over thousands of simulated games, Palace come out on top in 59% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Sunderland. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Sunderland and Palace

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Sunderland play 7 days after their match at home to Forest on 12 Dec. Next they are away at Everton 7 days after this game. Premier League game 16 of 38.

Palace play 7 days after their match at home to Man Utd on 12 Dec. Next they are at home to Arsenal 8 days after this game. Premier League game 16 of 38.

They meet again at Selhurst Park on Sat, 27 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 12 DecSunderland vs ForestStadium of Light
  2. 12 DecPalace vs Man UtdSelhurst Park
  3. 19 Dec · this matchSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
  4. 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Sunderland vs Palace?

KhelKing expects Crystal Palace to win. The goals model rates Sunderland 18%, the draw 23% and Palace 59%, which we grade as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Sunderland vs Palace?

By our numbers: Sunderland 5.56, draw 4.35, Palace 1.69. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Sunderland vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 15:00 UK time), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Sunderland upset Palace in Sunderland vs Palace?

18% to win plus 23% for the draw: 41% that Palace do not win. The home crowd at Stadium of Light is behind them. An early goal would force Palace to chase.

How should I trade Sunderland vs Palace on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Crystal Palace at 1.69 or longer, or lay Sunderland at 5.56 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Sunderland fail to win; at 5.56, a ₹100 lay carries ₹456 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Sunderland vs Palace match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Sunderland 18%, draw 23%, Palace 59%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Sunderland cause an upset in Sunderland vs Palace?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Palace's attack. KhelKing gives Sunderland a 18% chance.

Is it legal to bet on Sunderland vs Palace in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Palace?

3.0 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 6% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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