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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Sunderland Prediction, score and odds

Everton50% · fair 2.00
KhelKing lean50%Everton 50%, draw 26%, Sunderland 24%

Draw 26% · fair 3.85

Sunderland24% · fair 4.17
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 26 Dec 2026
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Everton vs Sunderland, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Everton

  1. 50% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 2.00.
  2. 1.61 expected goals to 1.02: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Hill Dickinson Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Sunderland

  1. 24% to win plus 26% for the draw: 50% that Everton do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Everton to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Sunderland?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Everton 50%, draw 26%, Sunderland 24%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.6 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 51% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
51%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.02
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Everton are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeEverton

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (49% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Quality gap

    Everton rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeEverton

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Everton vs Sunderland on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Everton

Accept 2.00 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.00 pays ₹200 including your stake.

Fair price2.0050%
Lay

Sunderland

Lay only at 4.17 or shorter. At 4.17, a ₹100 lay puts ₹317 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price4.1724%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Everton

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win loses.

    68% chance1.47

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

    73% chance1.37

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 2-1 Sunderland

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    9% chance11.11

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape at Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Everton field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Sunderland score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Everton vs Sunderland match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Sunderland travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a coin flip. We project 1.61 xG for Everton and 1.02 for Sunderland. Over thousands of simulated games, Everton come out on top in 50% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Sunderland. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Everton and Sunderland

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 7 days after their match away at Forest on 19 Dec. Next they are at home to Man City 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 17 of 38.

Sunderland play 7 days after their match at home to Palace on 19 Dec. Next they are away at Man Utd 4 days after this game. Premier League game 17 of 38.

They meet again at Stadium of Light on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 19 DecForest vs EvertonCity Ground
  2. 19 DecSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
  3. 26 Dec · this matchEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 29 DecEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 30 DecMan Utd vs SunderlandOld Trafford

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Everton vs Sunderland FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?

KhelKing expects Everton to win. The goals model rates Everton 50%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 24%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Sunderland?

By our numbers: Everton 2.00, draw 3.85, Sunderland 4.17. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Everton vs Sunderland kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 15:00 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Sunderland upset Everton in Everton vs Sunderland?

24% to win plus 26% for the draw: 50% that Everton do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Everton to chase.

How should I trade Everton vs Sunderland on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Everton at 2.00 or longer, or lay Sunderland at 4.17 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Sunderland fail to win; at 4.17, a ₹100 lay carries ₹317 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 50%, draw 26%, Sunderland 24%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Sunderland cause an upset in Everton vs Sunderland?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Everton's attack. KhelKing gives Sunderland a 24% chance.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Sunderland?

We rate both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 49%.

Where can I watch Everton vs Sunderland?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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