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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Manchester City Prediction, score and odds

Everton12% · fair 8.33
KhelKing lean69%Everton 12%, draw 19%, Manchester City 69%

Draw 19% · fair 5.26

Manchester City69% · fair 1.45
Kick-off
01:45 IST, next day · 20:15 UK
Date
Tue, 29 Dec 2026
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Everton vs Man City, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Manchester City

  1. 69% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.45.
  2. 2.30 expected goals to 0.86: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Everton

  1. 12% to win plus 19% for the draw: 31% that Man City do not win.
  2. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Man City to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Man City?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Man City 69%, draw 19%, Everton 12%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.2 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 52% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
52%
Expected goals
0.86 – 2.30
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Everton. It closes the gap but does not erase Man City's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    3.2 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 61% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Man City rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeMan City

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Everton vs Man City on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Manchester City

Accept 1.45 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.45 pays ₹145 including your stake.

Fair price1.4569%
Lay

Everton

Lay only at 8.33 or shorter. At 8.33, a ₹100 lay puts ₹733 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price8.3312%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Man City

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win loses.

    85% chance1.18

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.2 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    61% chance1.64

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 1-2 Man City

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape at Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Manchester City

Man City carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, so Everton will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Man City field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Everton score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Everton vs Man City match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Manchester City travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. We project 0.86 xG for Everton and 2.30 for Man City. Over thousands of simulated games, Man City come out on top in 69% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Everton. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Everton and Man City

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 3 days after their match at home to Sunderland on 26 Dec, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are away at Leeds 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 18 of 38.

Man City play 3 days after their match away at Newcastle on 26 Dec, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are at home to Spurs 5 days after this game. Premier League game 18 of 38.

They meet again at Etihad Stadium on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
  2. 26 DecNewcastle vs Man CitySt James' Park
  3. 29 Dec · this matchEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 01 JanLeeds vs EvertonElland Road
  5. 03 JanMan City vs SpursEtihad Stadium

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FAQ · 10 questions

Everton vs Manchester City FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Everton vs Man City?

KhelKing expects Manchester City to win. The goals model rates Everton 12%, the draw 19% and Man City 69%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Manchester City?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Man City?

By our numbers: Everton 8.33, draw 5.26, Man City 1.45. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Everton vs Manchester City kick off in India?

01:45 IST, next day in India (UK date Tue, 29 Dec 2026, 20:15 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Man City in Everton vs Man City?

12% to win plus 19% for the draw: 31% that Man City do not win. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them. An early goal would force Man City to chase.

How should I trade Everton vs Man City on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Manchester City at 1.45 or longer, or lay Everton at 8.33 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 8.33, a ₹100 lay carries ₹733 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Man City match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Manchester City aage hain: Everton 12%, draw 19%, Man City 69%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Everton cause an upset in Everton vs Man City?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Man City's attack. KhelKing gives Everton a 12% chance.

How many goals are expected in Everton vs Man City?

3.2 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 5% of the time.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Man City?

We rate both teams to score at 52%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 61%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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