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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction, score and odds

Liverpool72% · fair 1.39
KhelKing lean72%Liverpool 72%, draw 19%, Crystal Palace 9%

Draw 19% · fair 5.26

Crystal Palace9% · fair 11.11
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 16 Jan 2027
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Liverpool vs Palace, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 72% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.39.
  2. 2.17 expected goals to 0.62: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Crystal Palace

  1. 9% to win plus 19% for the draw: 28% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Palace?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 72%, draw 19%, Palace 9%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 3-0, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 41% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
3-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
41%
Expected goals
2.17 – 0.62
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeLiverpool

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (53% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeLiverpool

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Palace on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.39 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.39 pays ₹139 including your stake.

Fair price1.3972%
Lay

Crystal Palace

Lay only at 11.11 or shorter. At 11.11, a ₹100 lay puts ₹1011 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price11.119%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Palace win loses.

    89% chance1.12

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    53% chance1.89

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 3-0 Palace

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession at Anfield and keep Palace penned in for long stretches.

Away

Crystal Palace

Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at Anfield, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Palace score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Liverpool vs Palace match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Crystal Palace travel to Anfield for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. We project 2.17 xG for Liverpool and 0.62 for Palace. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 72% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Palace. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Palace

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 11 days after their match away at Sunderland on 05 Jan. Next they are away at Man Utd 7 days after this game. Premier League game 21 of 38.

Palace play 10 days after their match at home to Chelsea on 06 Jan. Next they are at home to Spurs 7 days after this game. Premier League game 21 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Selhurst Park on Sun, 08 Nov 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolStadium of Light
  2. 06 JanPalace vs ChelseaSelhurst Park
  3. 16 Jan · this matchLiverpool vs PalaceAnfield
  4. 23 JanMan Utd vs LiverpoolOld Trafford
  5. 23 JanPalace vs SpursSelhurst Park

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Liverpool vs Palace?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 72%, the draw 19% and Palace 9%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Our projected score is 3-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 14%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Palace?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.39, draw 5.26, Palace 11.11. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Liverpool vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 16 Jan 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Palace upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Palace?

9% to win plus 19% for the draw: 28% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Palace on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.39 or longer, or lay Crystal Palace at 11.11 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Crystal Palace fail to win; at 11.11, a ₹100 lay carries ₹1011 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Palace match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 72%, draw 19%, Palace 9%. Sabse sambhavit score 3-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Palace?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Can Palace cause an upset in Liverpool vs Palace?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Liverpool's attack. KhelKing gives Palace a 9% chance.

Is it legal to bet on Liverpool vs Palace in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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