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CricketIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026 · game 8 of 12

New Zealand vs India 3rd ODI prediction

New Zealand56% · fair 1.79
KhelKing lean56%New Zealand 56%, India 44%
India44% · fair 2.27
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
Venue
Seddon Park, Hamilton
Format
ODI · 50 overs · balanced, dry pitch
By KhelKing Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins NZ vs IND, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

New Zealand

  1. Rated 56% by KhelKing, which is a fair back price of 1.79.
  2. Rated higher overall by KhelKing, even though the projected totals lean the other way (327 to 327).
  3. Home conditions: New Zealand know a balanced, dry surface like this better than anyone.
  4. Tim Southee, their likeliest match-winner (trusted at the end of the innings).

How they could upset it

India

  1. 44% to win, which is close to an even chance.
  2. One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  3. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
  4. Hardik Pandya can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).

By the numbers · 02

How many runs will New Zealand and India score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Seddon Park.

  • New Zealand rated 56%, a clear lean. Back them only at 1.79 or longer.
  • A balanced pitch, with New Zealand projected to post the higher total.
  • New Zealand have home conditions in their favour.
KhelKing pick
New Zealand
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
balanced, dry
Suits
Balanced
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
New Zealand IndiaInnings: NZ 303-351 · IND 303-351

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early. Neither attack gets a special edge from it.

    EdgeEven

  2. Toss call

    Both options are sensible, so each captain will likely stick with their usual preference.

    EdgeEven

  3. Series pressure

    A win puts New Zealand in charge with 4 games to go. A defeat hands India the momentum.

    EdgeNew Zealand

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay NZ vs IND on KhelKing?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

New Zealand

Accept 1.79 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.79 pays ₹179 including your stake.

Fair price1.7956%
Lay

India

Lay only at 2.27 or shorter. At 2.27, a ₹100 lay puts ₹127 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.2744%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back New Zealand

    The headline call. Worth backing only at 1.79 or longer.

    56% chance1.79

  2. ValueBalanced

    New Zealand first-innings total

    Over 311.5

    A 311.5 line leaves roughly 15 runs of headroom against our 327 projection.

    62% chance1.61

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Tim Southee (New Zealand)

    Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

    25% chance4.00

Match-winners · 05

Who can swing New Zealand vs India?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

New Zealand

  • Tim Southee90

    Trusted at the end of the innings

  • Glenn Phillips87

    Fast starter at the top

India

  • Hardik Pandya82

    Balances the XI

  • Jasprit Bumrah87

    Trusted at the end of the innings

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If

    Tim Southee misses out

    Then

    New Zealand would drop by about five points, turning this into a coin flip.

  2. If

    the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Then

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If

    rain cuts the overs

    Then

    A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.

The long read · 07

New Zealand vs India match preview

At 44%, India are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.

Game 8 of 12 is where India tour of New Zealand, 2026 begins to take shape. The KhelKing model leans to New Zealand at 56%, driven mostly by squad depth and how Seddon Park has behaved in recent seasons. New Zealand are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. At 44%, India are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.

On the toss: Both options are sensible, so each captain will likely stick with their usual preference.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: 3rd ODI

Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.

The 3rd ODI is staged at Seddon Park in Hamilton on Mon, 16 Nov 2026, game 8 of 12 in the series.

The 2nd ODI comes 4 days before this game at Sky Stadium in Wellington, so the squads travel to Hamilton in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.

Next on the calendar: the 4th ODI, 3 days after this game at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui.

More from Seddon Park on the KhelKing schedule: 5th T20I: New Zealand vs India (05 Nov), 2nd Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (16 Feb) (2 fixtures in total).

  1. 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
  2. 16 Nov · this match3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
  3. 19 Nov4th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval

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FAQ · 10 questions

NZ vs IND 3rd ODI FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win the New Zealand vs India 3rd ODI?

KhelKing expects New Zealand to win, rating them 56% against 44% for India, which is a clear lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry surface at Seddon Park should play.

What are the fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?

A 56% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.79 for New Zealand and 2.27 for India. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI start in India?

The series window places it on Mon, 16 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Seddon Park, Hamilton, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. KhelKing updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Seddon Park in the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?

We expect a balanced, dry surface that should favour neither side. Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?

Both options are sensible, so each captain will likely stick with their usual preference. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can India win the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. KhelKing gives India a 44% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or New Zealand change their best XI.

Why could India upset New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?

44% to win, which is close to an even chance. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Hardik Pandya can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).

How should I trade the New Zealand vs India 3rd ODI on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back New Zealand at 1.79 or longer, or lay India at 2.27 or shorter. A lay wins whenever India fail to win; at 2.27, a ₹100 lay carries ₹127 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

New Zealand vs India 3rd ODI match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke model ke mutabik New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 56%, jabki India ka 44%. Match Mon, 16 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

NZ vs IND 3rd ODI ke liye Hamilton ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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