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CricketIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026 · game 6 of 12

New Zealand vs India 1st ODI prediction

New Zealand50% · fair 2.00
KhelKing lean50%New Zealand 50%, India 50%
India50% · fair 2.00
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Mon, 09 Nov 2026
Venue
Eden Park, Auckland
Format
ODI · 50 overs · balanced, dry pitch
By KhelKing Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins NZ vs IND, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

New Zealand

  1. Rated 50% by KhelKing, which is a fair back price of 2.00.
  2. A projected 1-run cushion in the first-innings total (328 to 327).
  3. Home conditions: New Zealand know a balanced, dry surface like this better than anyone.
  4. Devon Conway, their likeliest match-winner (steady hand in a chase).

How they could upset it

India

  1. 50% to win, which is close to an even chance.
  2. One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  3. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
  4. Virat Kohli can win a game single-handed (steady hand in a chase).

By the numbers · 02

How many runs will New Zealand and India score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Eden Park.

  • New Zealand rated 50%, a coin flip. Back them only at 2.00 or longer.
  • A balanced pitch, with New Zealand projected to post the higher total.
  • New Zealand have home conditions in their favour.
KhelKing pick
New Zealand
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
balanced, dry
Suits
Balanced
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
New Zealand IndiaInnings: NZ 303-353 · IND 302-352

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    Expect an even contest, with phase scores around the format average and the sharper side on the day taking it. Neither attack gets a special edge from it.

    EdgeEven

  2. Even batting

    The two batting orders rate almost the same (1 runs apart), which leaves the bowling and the toss to settle it.

    EdgeEven

  3. Toss call

    The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more.

    EdgeEven

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay NZ vs IND on KhelKing?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

New Zealand

Accept 2.00 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.00 pays ₹200 including your stake.

Fair price2.0050%
Lay

India

Lay only at 2.00 or shorter. At 2.00, a ₹100 lay puts ₹100 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.0050%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back New Zealand

    Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 2.00, the value is gone.

    50% chance2.00

  2. ValueBalanced

    New Zealand first-innings total

    Over 311.5

    We project about 328, comfortably clear of 311.5, so a slow start can still land it.

    59% chance1.69

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Devon Conway (New Zealand)

    Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

    24% chance4.17

Match-winners · 05

Who can swing New Zealand vs India?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

New Zealand

  • Devon Conway83

    Steady hand in a chase

  • Finn Allen94

    Fast starter at the top

India

  • Virat Kohli81

    Steady hand in a chase

  • Ravindra Jadeja90

    Balances the XI

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If

    Devon Conway misses out

    Then

    New Zealand would drop by about five points, turning this into a coin flip.

  2. If

    the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Then

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If

    rain cuts the overs

    Then

    A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.

The long read · 07

New Zealand vs India match preview

At 50%, India are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.

With 6 games of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 still to play, match 6 can tilt the series. KhelKing rates New Zealand as the better-equipped side for a balanced, dry ODI surface, at 50%. New Zealand are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. At 50%, India are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.

On the toss: The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: 1st ODI

Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.

The 1st ODI is staged at Eden Park in Auckland on Mon, 09 Nov 2026, game 6 of 12 in the series.

The 5th T20I comes 4 days before this game at Seddon Park in Hamilton, so the squads travel to Auckland in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.

Next on the calendar: the 2nd ODI, 3 days after this game at Sky Stadium in Wellington.

More from Eden Park on the KhelKing schedule: 4th T20I: New Zealand vs India (02 Nov) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 05 Nov5th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
  2. 09 Nov · this match1st ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaEden Park
  3. 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium

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FAQ · 10 questions

NZ vs IND 1st ODI FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win the New Zealand vs India 1st ODI?

KhelKing expects New Zealand to win, rating them 50% against 50% for India, which is a coin flip. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry surface at Eden Park should play.

What are the fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?

A 50% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 2.00 for New Zealand and 2.00 for India. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the NZ vs IND 1st ODI start in India?

The series window places it on Mon, 09 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Eden Park, Auckland, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. KhelKing updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Eden Park in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?

We expect a balanced, dry surface that should favour neither side. Expect an even contest, with phase scores around the format average and the sharper side on the day taking it.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?

The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can India win the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. KhelKing gives India a 50% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or New Zealand change their best XI.

Why could India upset New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?

50% to win, which is close to an even chance. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Virat Kohli can win a game single-handed (steady hand in a chase).

How should I trade the New Zealand vs India 1st ODI on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back New Zealand at 2.00 or longer, or lay India at 2.00 or shorter. A lay wins whenever India fail to win; at 2.00, a ₹100 lay carries ₹100 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

New Zealand vs India 1st ODI match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke model ke mutabik New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 50%, jabki India ka 50%. Match Mon, 09 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

NZ vs IND 1st ODI ke liye Auckland ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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