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CricketAustralia tour of India, 2027 · game 5 of 5

India vs Australia 5th Test prediction

India66% · fair 1.52
KhelKing lean66%India 66%, Australia 34%
Australia34% · fair 2.94
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Wed, 03 Mar 2027
Venue
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Format
Test match · balanced, dry pitch
By KhelKing Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins IND vs AUS, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

India

  1. Rated 66% by KhelKing, which is a fair back price of 1.52.
  2. A projected 8-run cushion in the day-one total (267 to 259).
  3. Home conditions: India know a balanced, dry surface like this better than anyone.
  4. Mohammed Siraj, their likeliest match-winner (hits the deck hard).

How they could upset it

Australia

  1. 34% to win, which is roughly one game in 3.
  2. One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  3. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure.
  4. Josh Hazlewood can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

By the numbers · 02

How many runs will India and Australia score?

Projected session-by-session runs on day one at Narendra Modi Stadium.

  • India rated 66%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.52 or longer.
  • A balanced pitch, with India projected to post the higher total.
  • India have home conditions in their favour.
KhelKing pick
India
Format
Test match
Pitch
balanced, dry
Suits
Balanced
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
India AustraliaDay one: IND 244-290 · AUS 236-282

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    A fair surface with something in it for both sides, so session scores should sit close to the format norm. Neither attack gets a special edge from it.

    EdgeEven

  2. Series pressure

    It is the final game, so India cannot coast and Australia have nothing left to protect.

    EdgeIndia

  3. Even batting

    Just 8 runs split the projected totals, so the batting units are close to level. One big individual knock is the likeliest tiebreaker.

    EdgeEven

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay IND vs AUS on KhelKing?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

India

Accept 1.52 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.52 pays ₹152 including your stake.

Fair price1.5266%
Lay

Australia

Lay only at 2.94 or shorter. At 2.94, a ₹100 lay puts ₹194 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.9434%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back India

    The headline call. Worth backing only at 1.52 or longer.

    66% chance1.52

  2. ValueBalanced

    India day-one total

    Over 252.5

    A 252.5 line leaves roughly 14 runs of headroom against our 267 projection.

    56% chance1.79

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Yashasvi Jaiswal (India)

    Turns fifties into hundreds. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

    19% chance5.26

Match-winners · 05

Who can swing India vs Australia?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

India

  • Mohammed Siraj94

    Hits the deck hard

  • Yashasvi Jaiswal94

    Turns fifties into hundreds

Australia

  • Josh Hazlewood92

    Hits the deck hard

  • Alex Carey97

    Valuable runs at number seven

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If

    Mohammed Siraj misses out

    Then

    India would drop by about five points, turning this into a clear lean.

  2. If

    the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Then

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If

    rain costs a day or more

    Then

    A draw becomes the likeliest result, and our win call loses most of its value.

The long read · 07

India vs Australia match preview

A strong start would make our 34% for them look too low.

Australia tour of India, 2027 ends here: expect full-strength XIs with nobody rested for later. India rate 66% because both their batting and their attack fit these balanced, dry conditions a little better. India are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Australia's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 34% for them look too low.

On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this pitch.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: 5th Test

Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia tour of India, 2027.

The 5th Test is staged at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, game 5 of 5 in the series.

The 4th Test comes 10 days before this game at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi, so the squads travel to Ahmedabad in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.

Nothing follows in this series, so both teams should name their strongest available XI.

More from Narendra Modi Stadium on the KhelKing schedule: 3rd ODI: India vs Sri Lanka (19 Dec) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex
  2. 03 Mar · this match5th Test: India vs AustraliaNarendra Modi Stadium

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IND vs AUS 5th Test FAQs

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Who will win the India vs Australia 5th Test?

KhelKing expects India to win, rating them 66% against 34% for Australia, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry surface at Narendra Modi Stadium should play.

What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?

A 66% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.52 for India and 2.94 for Australia. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the IND vs AUS 5th Test start in India?

The series window places it on Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (start time to be confirmed) at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. KhelKing updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Narendra Modi Stadium in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?

We expect a balanced, dry surface that should favour neither side. A fair surface with something in it for both sides, so session scores should sit close to the format norm.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?

Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this pitch. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can Australia win the IND vs AUS 5th Test?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. KhelKing gives Australia a 34% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or India change their best XI.

Why could Australia upset India in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?

34% to win, which is roughly one game in 3. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure. Josh Hazlewood can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

How should I trade the India vs Australia 5th Test on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back India at 1.52 or longer, or lay Australia at 2.94 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Australia fail to win; at 2.94, a ₹100 lay carries ₹194 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

India vs Australia 5th Test match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke model ke mutabik India ka palda bhaari hai: 66%, jabki Australia ka 34%. Match Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

IND vs AUS 5th Test ke liye Ahmedabad ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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