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CricketAustralia tour of India, 2027 · game 3 of 5

India vs Australia 3rd Test prediction

India58% · fair 1.72
KhelKing lean58%India 58%, Australia 42%
Australia42% · fair 2.38
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Thu, 11 Feb 2027
Venue
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati
Format
Test match · balanced, dry pitch
By KhelKing Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins IND vs AUS, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

India

  1. Rated 58% by KhelKing, which is a fair back price of 1.72.
  2. A projected 8-run cushion in the day-one total (272 to 264).
  3. Home conditions: India know a balanced, dry surface like this better than anyone.
  4. Mohammed Shami, their likeliest match-winner (hits the deck hard).

How they could upset it

Australia

  1. 42% to win, which is close to an even chance.
  2. One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  3. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure.
  4. Josh Hazlewood can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

By the numbers · 02

How many runs will India and Australia score?

Projected session-by-session runs on day one at Barsapara Cricket Stadium.

  • India rated 58%, a clear lean. Back them only at 1.72 or longer.
  • A balanced pitch, with India projected to post the higher total.
  • India have home conditions in their favour.
KhelKing pick
India
Format
Test match
Pitch
balanced, dry
Suits
Balanced
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
India AustraliaDay one: IND 250-294 · AUS 242-286

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early. Neither attack gets a special edge from it.

    EdgeEven

  2. Even batting

    Just 8 runs split the projected totals, so the batting units are close to level. One big individual knock is the likeliest tiebreaker.

    EdgeEven

  3. Toss call

    Both options are sensible, so each captain will likely stick with their usual preference.

    EdgeEven

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay IND vs AUS on KhelKing?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

India

Accept 1.72 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.72 pays ₹172 including your stake.

Fair price1.7258%
Lay

Australia

Lay only at 2.38 or shorter. At 2.38, a ₹100 lay puts ₹138 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.3842%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back India

    The headline call. Worth backing only at 1.72 or longer.

    58% chance1.72

  2. ValueBalanced

    India day-one total

    Over 257.5

    A 257.5 line leaves roughly 14 runs of headroom against our 272 projection.

    62% chance1.61

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Yashasvi Jaiswal (India)

    Turns fifties into hundreds. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

    19% chance5.26

Match-winners · 05

Who can swing India vs Australia?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

India

  • Mohammed Shami86

    Hits the deck hard

  • Yashasvi Jaiswal83

    Turns fifties into hundreds

Australia

  • Josh Hazlewood86

    Hits the deck hard

  • Adam Zampa92

    Can bowl all day

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If

    Mohammed Shami misses out

    Then

    India would drop by about five points, turning this into a slight lean.

  2. If

    the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Then

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If

    rain costs a day or more

    Then

    A draw becomes the likeliest result, and our win call loses most of its value.

The long read · 07

India vs Australia match preview

A strong start would make our 42% for them look too low.

Game 3 of 5 is where Australia tour of India, 2027 begins to take shape. The KhelKing model leans to India at 58%, driven mostly by squad depth and how Barsapara Cricket Stadium has behaved in recent seasons. India are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Australia's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 42% for them look too low.

On the toss: Both options are sensible, so each captain will likely stick with their usual preference.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: 3rd Test

Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia tour of India, 2027.

The 3rd Test is staged at Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati on Thu, 11 Feb 2027, game 3 of 5 in the series.

The 2nd Test comes 11 days before this game at MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai, so the squads travel to Guwahati in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.

Next on the calendar: the 4th Test, 10 days after this game at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi.

More from Barsapara Cricket Stadium on the KhelKing schedule: 2nd ODI: India vs West Indies (30 Sep) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 31 Jan2nd Test: India vs AustraliaMA Chidambaram Stadium
  2. 11 Feb · this match3rd Test: India vs AustraliaBarsapara Cricket Stadium
  3. 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex

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IND vs AUS 3rd Test FAQs

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Who will win the India vs Australia 3rd Test?

KhelKing expects India to win, rating them 58% against 42% for Australia, which is a clear lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry surface at Barsapara Cricket Stadium should play.

What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?

A 58% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.72 for India and 2.38 for Australia. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the IND vs AUS 3rd Test start in India?

The series window places it on Thu, 11 Feb 2027 (start time to be confirmed) at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. KhelKing updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Barsapara Cricket Stadium in the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?

We expect a balanced, dry surface that should favour neither side. Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?

Both options are sensible, so each captain will likely stick with their usual preference. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can Australia win the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. KhelKing gives Australia a 42% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or India change their best XI.

Why could Australia upset India in the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?

42% to win, which is close to an even chance. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure. Josh Hazlewood can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

How should I trade the India vs Australia 3rd Test on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back India at 1.72 or longer, or lay Australia at 2.38 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Australia fail to win; at 2.38, a ₹100 lay carries ₹138 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

India vs Australia 3rd Test match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke model ke mutabik India ka palda bhaari hai: 58%, jabki Australia ka 42%. Match Thu, 11 Feb 2027 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

IND vs AUS 3rd Test ke liye Guwahati ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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