Skip to content
KhelKing
Get ID Now

FootballPremier League · London derby

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction, score and odds

Arsenal52% · fair 1.92
KhelKing lean52%Arsenal 52%, draw 29%, Crystal Palace 19%

Draw 29% · fair 3.45

Crystal Palace19% · fair 5.26
Kick-off
01:30 IST, next day · 20:00 UK
Date
Wed, 03 Mar 2027
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Arsenal vs Palace, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Arsenal

  1. 52% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.92.
  2. 1.46 expected goals to 0.77: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Emirates Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Crystal Palace

  1. 19% to win plus 29% for the draw: 48% that Arsenal do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. It is the London derby, where form often counts for little.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Palace?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Arsenal 52%, draw 29%, Palace 19%: a slight lean.
  • Projected score 2-0, with a tight, low-scoring game likely (2.2 xG).
  • It is the London derby, so expect more bookings and fewer clear-cut chances.
Projected score
2-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
41%
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.77
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Arsenal are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeArsenal

  2. Expected goals

    At just 2.2 expected goals, the under is the natural lean, with over 2.5 landing only 38% of the time.

    EdgeFew goals

  3. Derby intensity

    The London derby brings added edge, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish tighter than the table suggests.

    EdgeDraw

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Arsenal vs Palace on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Arsenal

Accept 1.92 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.92 pays ₹192 including your stake.

Fair price1.9252%
Lay

Crystal Palace

Lay only at 5.26 or shorter. At 5.26, a ₹100 lay puts ₹426 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price5.2619%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Arsenal

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Palace win loses.

    73% chance1.37

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

    82% chance1.22

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Arsenal 2-0 Palace

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    11% chance9.09

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Arsenal

Arsenal are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession at Emirates Stadium and keep Palace penned in for long stretches.

Away

Crystal Palace

Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at Emirates Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Arsenal field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Palace score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Arsenal vs Palace match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Crystal Palace travel to Emirates Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a slight lean. As the London derby, form matters less than usual, so we have pulled the two sides closer together. We project 1.46 xG for Arsenal and 0.77 for Palace. Over thousands of simulated games, Arsenal come out on top in 52% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Palace. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Arsenal and Palace

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Arsenal play 4 days after their match away at Man Utd on 27 Feb. Next they are away at Chelsea 10 days after this game. Premier League game 28 of 38.

Palace play 4 days after their match at home to Sunderland on 27 Feb. Next they are at home to Fulham 10 days after this game. Premier League game 28 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Selhurst Park on Sun, 27 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 27 FebMan Utd vs ArsenalOld Trafford
  2. 27 FebPalace vs SunderlandSelhurst Park
  3. 03 Mar · this matchArsenal vs PalaceEmirates Stadium
  4. 13 MarChelsea vs ArsenalStamford Bridge
  5. 13 MarPalace vs FulhamSelhurst Park

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Arsenal and Palace

Back or lay in-play

Trade this match on your KhelKing ID

Cricket, football and tennis on one ID, with 24/7 WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. Fix a budget before you play.

Sign upFull match schedule

18+ only · Play responsibly

Browse every prediction

FAQ · 10 questions

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Ask support on WhatsApp

Who will win Arsenal vs Palace?

KhelKing expects Arsenal to win. The goals model rates Arsenal 52%, the draw 29% and Palace 19%, which we grade as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?

Our projected score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 15%.

What are the fair odds for Arsenal vs Palace?

By our numbers: Arsenal 1.92, draw 3.45, Palace 5.26. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Arsenal vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day in India (UK date Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 20:00 UK time), at Emirates Stadium in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Palace upset Arsenal in Arsenal vs Palace?

19% to win plus 29% for the draw: 48% that Arsenal do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. It is the London derby, where form often counts for little.

How should I trade Arsenal vs Palace on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Arsenal at 1.92 or longer, or lay Crystal Palace at 5.26 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Crystal Palace fail to win; at 5.26, a ₹100 lay carries ₹426 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Arsenal vs Palace match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 52%, draw 29%, Palace 19%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Palace?

We rate both teams to score at 41%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 38%.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Palace?

2.2 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 12% of the time.

Can Palace cause an upset in Arsenal vs Palace?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Arsenal's attack. KhelKing gives Palace a 19% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.