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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

Tottenham Hotspur39% · fair 2.56
KhelKing lean39%Tottenham Hotspur 39%, draw 27%, Liverpool 34%

Draw 27% · fair 3.70

Liverpool34% · fair 2.94
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 27 Feb 2027
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Spurs vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Tottenham Hotspur

  1. 39% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 2.56.
  2. 1.44 expected goals to 1.31: they should create the better chances.
  3. Home advantage at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Liverpool

  1. 34% to win plus 27% for the draw: 61% that Spurs do not win.
  2. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  3. An early goal would force Spurs to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Spurs vs Liverpool?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Spurs 39%, draw 27%, Liverpool 34%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
56%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.31
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Spurs are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    EdgeSpurs

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (51% for the over).

    EdgeEven

  3. Draw risk

    A 27% draw chance is high by Premier League standards, which is why our anchor bet protects against the draw instead of backing a straight win.

    EdgeDraw

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Spurs vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Tottenham Hotspur

Accept 2.56 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.56 pays ₹256 including your stake.

Fair price2.5639%
Lay

Liverpool

Lay only at 2.94 or shorter. At 2.94, a ₹100 lay puts ₹194 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.9434%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Double chance

    Spurs or draw

    Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Liverpool win loses.

    66% chance1.52

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 56% of the time in our simulations.

    56% chance1.79

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Spurs 2-1 Liverpool

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    9% chance11.11

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well coached, with enough cutting edge to punish errors at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Their game is built on winning the midfield.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents on the road at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, so Spurs will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Spurs field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Liverpool score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Spurs vs Liverpool match preview

Liverpool's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Tottenham Hotspur welcome Liverpool in front of a home crowd, and the KhelKing numbers tilt toward Spurs. The expected-goals split (1.44 for Spurs, 1.31 for Liverpool) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 39% for Spurs. Liverpool's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Spurs and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Spurs play 7 days after their match away at Brighton on 20 Feb. Next they are away at Bournemouth 4 days after this game. Premier League game 27 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Hull on 20 Feb. Next they are at home to Villa 4 days after this game. Premier League game 27 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Anfield on Sat, 19 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 20 FebBrighton vs SpursAmerican Express Stadium
  2. 20 FebLiverpool vs HullAnfield
  3. 27 Feb · this matchSpurs vs LiverpoolTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  4. 03 MarBournemouth vs SpursVitality Stadium
  5. 03 MarLiverpool vs VillaAnfield

Keep reading

More KhelKing predictions for Spurs and Liverpool

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FAQ · 10 questions

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Spurs vs Liverpool?

KhelKing expects Tottenham Hotspur to win. The goals model rates Spurs 39%, the draw 27% and Liverpool 34%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Spurs vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Spurs 2.56, draw 3.70, Liverpool 2.94. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 27 Feb 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Liverpool upset Spurs in Spurs vs Liverpool?

34% to win plus 27% for the draw: 61% that Spurs do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Spurs to chase.

How should I trade Spurs vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 2.56 or longer, or lay Liverpool at 2.94 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Liverpool fail to win; at 2.94, a ₹100 lay carries ₹194 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Spurs vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 39%, draw 27%, Liverpool 34%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Spurs vs Liverpool?

We rate both teams to score at 56%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 51%.

Can Liverpool cause an upset in Spurs vs Liverpool?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Spurs's attack. KhelKing gives Liverpool a 34% chance.

Is it legal to bet on Spurs vs Liverpool in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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