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CricketEngland tour of South Africa, 2026-27 · game 5 of 6

South Africa vs England 2nd ODI prediction

South Africa60% · fair 1.67
KhelKing lean60%South Africa 60%, England 40%
England40% · fair 2.50
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Sat, 09 Jan 2027
Venue
Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein
Format
ODI · 50 overs · flat, run-heavy pitch
By KhelKing Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins SA vs ENG, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

South Africa

  1. Rated 60% by KhelKing, which is a fair back price of 1.67.
  2. Rated higher overall by KhelKing, even though the projected totals lean the other way (344 to 347).
  3. Home conditions: South Africa know a flat, run-heavy surface like this better than anyone.
  4. Kagiso Rabada, their likeliest match-winner (trusted at the end of the innings).

How they could upset it

England

  1. 40% to win, which is close to an even chance.
  2. One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  3. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
  4. Sam Curran can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).

By the numbers · 02

How many runs will South Africa and England score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Mangaung Oval.

  • South Africa rated 60%, a clear lean. Back them only at 1.67 or longer.
  • A pitch that suits batters, with England projected to post the higher total.
  • South Africa have home conditions in their favour.
KhelKing pick
South Africa
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
flat, run-heavy
Suits
Batters
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
South Africa EnglandInnings: SA 319-369 · ENG 323-371

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.

    EdgeEven

  2. Even batting

    The two batting orders rate almost the same (3 runs apart), which leaves the bowling and the toss to settle it.

    EdgeEven

  3. Series pressure

    A win puts South Africa in charge with 1 game to go. A defeat hands England the momentum.

    EdgeSouth Africa

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay SA vs ENG on KhelKing?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

South Africa

Accept 1.67 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.67 pays ₹167 including your stake.

Fair price1.6760%
Lay

England

Lay only at 2.50 or shorter. At 2.50, a ₹100 lay puts ₹150 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.5040%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back South Africa

    Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.67, the value is gone.

    60% chance1.67

  2. ValueBalanced

    South Africa first-innings total

    Over 327.5

    We project about 344, comfortably clear of 327.5, so a slow start can still land it.

    56% chance1.79

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Kagiso Rabada (South Africa)

    Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

    20% chance5.00

Match-winners · 05

Who can swing South Africa vs England?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

South Africa

  • Kagiso Rabada80

    Trusted at the end of the innings

  • Reeza Hendricks83

    Fast starter at the top

England

  • Sam Curran93

    Balances the XI

  • Mark Wood97

    Trusted at the end of the innings

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If

    Kagiso Rabada misses out

    Then

    South Africa would drop by about five points, turning this into a slight lean.

  2. If

    the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Then

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If

    rain cuts the overs

    Then

    A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.

The long read · 07

South Africa vs England match preview

A strong start would make our 40% for them look too low.

With 1 game of England tour of South Africa, 2026-27 still to play, match 5 can tilt the series. KhelKing rates South Africa as the better-equipped side for a flat, run-heavy ODI surface, at 60%. South Africa are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. England's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 40% for them look too low.

On the toss: Batting or fielding first offers no real edge while the surface stays this good.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: 2nd ODI

Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of South Africa, 2026-27.

The 2nd ODI is staged at Mangaung Oval in Bloemfontein on Sat, 09 Jan 2027, game 5 of 6 in the series.

The 1st ODI comes 6 days before this game at Boland Park in Paarl, so the squads travel to Bloemfontein in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.

Next on the calendar: the 3rd ODI, 6 days after this game, at the same ground.

More from Mangaung Oval on the KhelKing schedule: 3rd ODI: South Africa vs England (15 Jan) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 03 Jan1st ODI: South Africa vs EnglandBoland Park
  2. 09 Jan · this match2nd ODI: South Africa vs EnglandMangaung Oval
  3. 15 Jan3rd ODI: South Africa vs EnglandMangaung Oval

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

SA vs ENG 2nd ODI FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win the South Africa vs England 2nd ODI?

KhelKing expects South Africa to win, rating them 60% against 40% for England, which is a clear lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, run-heavy surface at Mangaung Oval should play.

What are the fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?

A 60% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.67 for South Africa and 2.50 for England. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI start in India?

The series window places it on Sat, 09 Jan 2027 (start time to be confirmed) at Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. KhelKing updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Mangaung Oval in the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?

We expect a flat, run-heavy surface that should favour the batters. A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?

Batting or fielding first offers no real edge while the surface stays this good. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can England win the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. KhelKing gives England a 40% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or South Africa change their best XI.

Why could England upset South Africa in the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?

40% to win, which is close to an even chance. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Sam Curran can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).

How should I trade the South Africa vs England 2nd ODI on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back South Africa at 1.67 or longer, or lay England at 2.50 or shorter. A lay wins whenever England fail to win; at 2.50, a ₹100 lay carries ₹150 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

South Africa vs England 2nd ODI match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke model ke mutabik South Africa ka palda bhaari hai: 60%, jabki England ka 40%. Match Sat, 09 Jan 2027 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

SA vs ENG 2nd ODI ke liye Bloemfontein ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, run-heavy rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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