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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

Hull City9% · fair 11.11
KhelKing lean76%Hull City 9%, draw 15%, Liverpool 76%

Draw 15% · fair 6.67

Liverpool76% · fair 1.32
Kick-off
23:00 IST · 17:30 UK
Date
Sat, 26 Dec 2026
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Hull vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  1. 76% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.32.
  2. 2.65 expected goals to 0.78: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to MKM Stadium.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  1. 9% to win plus 15% for the draw: 24% that Liverpool do not win.
  2. The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them.
  3. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Liverpool?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 76%, draw 15%, Hull 9%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 0-3, with goals expected (3.4 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 50% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
0-3
Half-time
0-1
Both score
50%
Expected goals
0.78 – 2.65
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. It closes the gap but does not erase Liverpool's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    3.4 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 66% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 15%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeLiverpool

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Hull vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Liverpool

Accept 1.32 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.32 pays ₹132 including your stake.

Fair price1.3276%
Lay

Hull City

Lay only at 11.11 or shorter. At 11.11, a ₹100 lay puts ₹1011 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price11.119%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder
  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

    90% chance1.11

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.4 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

    66% chance1.52

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Hull 0-3 Liverpool

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block at MKM Stadium, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at MKM Stadium and keep Hull penned in for long stretches.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Hull score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Hull vs Liverpool match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Liverpool travel to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a strong lean. We project 0.78 xG for Hull and 2.65 for Liverpool. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 76% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Hull and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Hull play 7 days after their match away at Man City on 19 Dec. Next they are at home to Leeds 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 17 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Spurs on 19 Dec. Next they are away at Villa 4 days after this game. Premier League game 17 of 38.

They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 19 DecMan City vs HullEtihad Stadium
  2. 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield
  3. 26 Dec · this matchHull vs LiverpoolMKM Stadium
  4. 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM Stadium
  5. 30 DecVilla vs LiverpoolVilla Park

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Hull City vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Hull vs Liverpool?

KhelKing expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Hull 9%, the draw 15% and Liverpool 76%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 0-3, with 0-1 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Hull 11.11, draw 6.67, Liverpool 1.32. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Hull City vs Liverpool kick off in India?

23:00 IST in India (UK date Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 17:30 UK time), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Liverpool in Hull vs Liverpool?

9% to win plus 15% for the draw: 24% that Liverpool do not win. The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Hull vs Liverpool on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Liverpool at 1.32 or longer, or lay Hull City at 11.11 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 11.11, a ₹100 lay carries ₹1011 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Hull 9%, draw 15%, Liverpool 76%. Sabse sambhavit score 0-3 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Hull vs Liverpool?

UK viewers can watch on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Will both teams score in Hull vs Liverpool?

We rate both teams to score at 50%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 66%.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Liverpool?

3.4 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 3% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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