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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Arsenal Prediction, score and odds

Everton21% · fair 4.76
KhelKing lean56%Everton 21%, draw 23%, Arsenal 56%

Draw 23% · fair 4.35

Arsenal56% · fair 1.79
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sun, 23 May 2027
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By KhelKing Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins Everton vs Arsenal, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Arsenal

  1. 56% to win on the KhelKing goals model, a fair back price of 1.79.
  2. 1.92 expected goals to 1.09: they should create the better chances.
  3. Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium.
  4. A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Everton

  1. 21% to win plus 23% for the draw: 44% that Arsenal do not win.
  2. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them.
  3. An early goal would force Arsenal to chase.

Goals model · 02

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Arsenal?

The KhelKing goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Arsenal 56%, draw 23%, Everton 21%: a clear lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.0 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 57% on the KhelKing model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
57%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.92
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Everton. It closes the gap but does not erase Arsenal's extra quality.

    EdgeEven

  2. Expected goals

    3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 58% of the time in our simulations.

    EdgeGoals

  3. Quality gap

    Arsenal rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    EdgeArsenal

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay Everton vs Arsenal on KhelKing?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Arsenal

Accept 1.79 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.79 pays ₹179 including your stake.

Fair price1.7956%
Lay

Everton

Lay only at 4.76 or shorter. At 4.76, a ₹100 lay puts ₹376 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price4.7621%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Arsenal

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win loses.

    73% chance1.37

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 57% of the time in our simulations.

    57% chance1.75

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 1-2 Arsenal

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

    10% chance10.00

Team shape · 05

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape at Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium and keep Everton penned in for long stretches.

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If

    Arsenal field a weakened XI

    Then

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If

    Everton score first

    Then

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If

    a red card arrives in the first hour

    Then

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read · 07

Everton vs Arsenal match preview

Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Arsenal travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that KhelKing grades as a clear lean. We project 1.09 xG for Everton and 1.92 for Arsenal. Over thousands of simulated games, Arsenal come out on top in 56% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Everton. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: Everton and Arsenal

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 8 days after their match away at Chelsea on 15 May. Next they are away at Ipswich 7 days after this game. Premier League game 37 of 38.

Arsenal play 8 days after their match at home to Forest on 15 May. Next they are at home to Brighton 7 days after this game. Premier League game 37 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 24 Oct 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonStamford Bridge
  2. 15 MayArsenal vs ForestEmirates Stadium
  3. 23 May · this matchEverton vs ArsenalHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 30 MayIpswich vs EvertonPortman Road
  5. 30 MayArsenal vs BrightonEmirates Stadium

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

Everton vs Arsenal FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win Everton vs Arsenal?

KhelKing expects Arsenal to win. The goals model rates Everton 21%, the draw 23% and Arsenal 56%, which we grade as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Arsenal?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Arsenal?

By our numbers: Everton 4.76, draw 4.35, Arsenal 1.79. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the KhelKing model.

What time does Everton vs Arsenal kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sun, 23 May 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Arsenal in Everton vs Arsenal?

21% to win plus 23% for the draw: 44% that Arsenal do not win. The home crowd at Hill Dickinson Stadium is behind them. An early goal would force Arsenal to chase.

How should I trade Everton vs Arsenal on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Arsenal at 1.79 or longer, or lay Everton at 4.76 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 4.76, a ₹100 lay carries ₹376 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Arsenal match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Everton 21%, draw 23%, Arsenal 56%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Everton vs Arsenal?

3.0 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 5% of the time.

Is it legal to bet on Everton vs Arsenal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and KhelKing is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Arsenal?

We rate both teams to score at 57%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 58%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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