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CricketNew Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · game 2 of 4

Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test prediction

Australia66% · fair 1.52
KhelKing lean66%Australia 66%, New Zealand 34%
New Zealand34% · fair 2.94
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
Venue
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Format
Test match · flat, batting-friendly pitch
By KhelKing Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins AUS vs NZ, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Australia

  1. Rated 66% by KhelKing, which is a fair back price of 1.52.
  2. A projected 16-run cushion in the day-one total (283 to 267).
  3. Home conditions: Australia know a flat, batting-friendly surface like this better than anyone.
  4. David Warner, their likeliest match-winner (built for long innings).

How they could upset it

New Zealand

  1. 34% to win, which is roughly one game in 3.
  2. One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  3. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure.
  4. Lockie Ferguson can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

By the numbers · 02

How many runs will Australia and New Zealand score?

Projected session-by-session runs on day one at Adelaide Oval.

  • Australia rated 66%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.52 or longer.
  • A pitch that suits batters, with Australia projected to post the higher total.
  • Australia have home conditions in their favour.
KhelKing pick
Australia
Format
Test match
Pitch
flat, batting-friendly
Suits
Batters
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
Australia New ZealandDay one: AUS 260-306 · NZ 242-292

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    Firm, true and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. An under-par total will not hold up on this surface. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.

    EdgeEven

  2. Batting edge

    The projection hands Australia a 16-run cushion, the single biggest reason the model sides with them.

    EdgeAustralia

  3. Toss call

    Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available.

    EdgeEven

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay AUS vs NZ on KhelKing?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

Australia

Accept 1.52 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.52 pays ₹152 including your stake.

Fair price1.5266%
Lay

New Zealand

Lay only at 2.94 or shorter. At 2.94, a ₹100 lay puts ₹194 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.9434%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back Australia

    Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.52, the value is gone.

    66% chance1.52

  2. ValueBalanced

    Australia day-one total

    Over 268.5

    We project about 283, comfortably clear of 268.5, so a slow start can still land it.

    56% chance1.79

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    David Warner (Australia)

    Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

    24% chance4.17

Match-winners · 05

Who can swing Australia vs New Zealand?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

Australia

  • David Warner92

    Built for long innings

  • Pat Cummins88

    Hits the deck hard

New Zealand

  • Lockie Ferguson84

    Hits the deck hard

  • Rachin Ravindra83

    Gives the side a fifth bowler

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If

    David Warner misses out

    Then

    Australia would drop by about five points, turning this into a clear lean.

  2. If

    the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Then

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If

    rain costs a day or more

    Then

    A draw becomes the likeliest result, and our win call loses most of its value.

The long read · 07

Australia vs New Zealand match preview

Without either, the favourites should stay in control.

With 2 games of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 still to play, match 2 can tilt the series. Australia rate 66% because both their batting and their attack fit these flat, batting-friendly conditions a little better. Australia are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. New Zealand need early wickets or one match-winning innings. Without either, the favourites should stay in control.

On the toss: Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: 2nd Test

Rest days, travel and what comes next in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27.

The 2nd Test is staged at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide on Sat, 19 Dec 2026, game 2 of 4 in the series.

The 1st Test comes 10 days before this game at Perth Stadium in Perth, so the squads travel to Adelaide in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.

Next on the calendar: the 3rd Test, 10 days after this game at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.

More from Adelaide Oval on the KhelKing schedule: 2nd ODI: Australia vs England (15 Nov) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 09 Dec1st Test: Australia vs New ZealandPerth Stadium
  2. 19 Dec · this match2nd Test: Australia vs New ZealandAdelaide Oval
  3. 29 Dec3rd Test: Australia vs New ZealandMelbourne Cricket Ground

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10 questions

AUS vs NZ 2nd Test FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win the Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test?

KhelKing expects Australia to win, rating them 66% against 34% for New Zealand, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, batting-friendly surface at Adelaide Oval should play.

What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

A 66% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.52 for Australia and 2.94 for New Zealand. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test start in India?

The series window places it on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. KhelKing updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Adelaide Oval in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

We expect a flat, batting-friendly surface that should favour the batters. Firm, true and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. An under-par total will not hold up on this surface.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can New Zealand win the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. KhelKing gives New Zealand a 34% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or Australia change their best XI.

Why could New Zealand upset Australia in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

34% to win, which is roughly one game in 3. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure. Lockie Ferguson can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

How should I trade the Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back Australia at 1.52 or longer, or lay New Zealand at 2.94 or shorter. A lay wins whenever New Zealand fail to win; at 2.94, a ₹100 lay carries ₹194 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke model ke mutabik Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 66%, jabki New Zealand ka 34%. Match Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

AUS vs NZ 2nd Test ke liye Adelaide ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, batting-friendly rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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