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CricketEngland tour of Australia, 2026 · game 1 of 8

Australia vs England 1st ODI prediction

Australia45% · fair 2.22
KhelKing lean55%Australia 45%, England 55%
England55% · fair 1.82
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Venue
Perth Stadium, Perth
Format
ODI · 50 overs · flat, run-heavy pitch
By KhelKing Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case · 01

Who wins AUS vs ENG, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

England

  1. Rated 55% by KhelKing, which is a fair back price of 1.82.
  2. Rated higher overall by KhelKing, even though the projected totals lean the other way (342 to 346).
  3. A flat, run-heavy pitch that rewards the side with deeper resources among the batters.
  4. Jonny Bairstow, their likeliest match-winner (steady hand in a chase).

How they could upset it

Australia

  1. 45% to win, which is close to an even chance.
  2. Australia are at home, an edge models often underrate.
  3. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
  4. Mitchell Marsh can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).

By the numbers · 02

How many runs will Australia and England score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Perth Stadium.

  • England rated 55%, a slight lean. Back them only at 1.82 or longer.
  • A pitch that suits batters, with Australia projected to post the higher total.
  • Australia have home conditions in their favour.
KhelKing pick
England
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
flat, run-heavy
Suits
Batters
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
Australia EnglandInnings: AUS 321-371 · ENG 319-365

Deciding factors · 03

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.

    EdgeEven

  2. Even batting

    The two batting orders rate almost the same (4 runs apart), which leaves the bowling and the toss to settle it.

    EdgeEven

  3. Toss call

    The toss hardly matters. Both teams will plan for a big score whichever way the coin lands.

    EdgeEven

How to play it · 04

How should you back or lay AUS vs ENG on KhelKing?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back

England

Accept 1.82 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.82 pays ₹182 including your stake.

Fair price1.8255%
Lay

Australia

Lay only at 2.22 or shorter. At 2.22, a ₹100 lay puts ₹122 at risk to win ₹100.

Fair price2.2245%
SaferThree ways to play itBolder

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back England

    Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.82, the value is gone.

    55% chance1.82

  2. ValueBalanced

    Australia first-innings total

    Over 329.5

    We project about 346, comfortably clear of 329.5, so a slow start can still land it.

    57% chance1.75

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Jonny Bairstow (England)

    Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

    22% chance4.55

Match-winners · 05

Who can swing Australia vs England?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

Australia

  • Mitchell Marsh92

    Balances the XI

  • Mitchell Starc90

    Trusted at the end of the innings

England

  • Jonny Bairstow93

    Steady hand in a chase

  • Liam Livingstone97

    Balances the XI

What could change · 06

What would change the KhelKing prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If

    Jonny Bairstow misses out

    Then

    England would drop by about five points, turning this into a coin flip.

  2. If

    the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    Then

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If

    rain cuts the overs

    Then

    A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.

The long read · 07

Australia vs England match preview

Without either, the favourites should stay in control.

The first game of England tour of Australia, 2026 usually sets the tone for everything that follows, and both camps know it. The KhelKing model leans to England at 55%, driven mostly by squad depth and how Perth Stadium has behaved in recent seasons. Australia are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Australia need early wickets or one match-winning innings. Without either, the favourites should stay in control.

On the toss: The toss hardly matters. Both teams will plan for a big score whichever way the coin lands.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline · 08

Fixture timeline: 1st ODI

Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.

The 1st ODI is staged at Perth Stadium in Perth on Thu, 12 Nov 2026, game 1 of 8 in the series.

Being the series opener, there is no head-to-head form from this tour yet, so early prices lean on reputation.

Next on the calendar: the 2nd ODI, 3 days after this game at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide.

More from Perth Stadium on the KhelKing schedule: 1st Test: Australia vs New Zealand (09 Dec) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 12 Nov · this match1st ODI: Australia vs EnglandPerth Stadium
  2. 15 Nov2nd ODI: Australia vs EnglandAdelaide Oval

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FAQ · 10 questions

AUS vs ENG 1st ODI FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

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Who will win the Australia vs England 1st ODI?

KhelKing expects England to win, rating them 55% against 45% for Australia, which is a slight lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, run-heavy surface at Perth Stadium should play.

What are the fair odds for England in the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?

A 55% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.82 for England and 2.22 for Australia. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI start in India?

The series window places it on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Perth Stadium, Perth, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. KhelKing updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Perth Stadium in the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?

We expect a flat, run-heavy surface that should favour the batters. A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?

The toss hardly matters. Both teams will plan for a big score whichever way the coin lands. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can Australia win the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. KhelKing gives Australia a 45% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or England change their best XI.

Why could Australia upset England in the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?

45% to win, which is close to an even chance. Australia are at home, an edge models often underrate. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Mitchell Marsh can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).

How should I trade the Australia vs England 1st ODI on KhelKing?

By KhelKing numbers, back England at 1.82 or longer, or lay Australia at 2.22 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Australia fail to win; at 2.22, a ₹100 lay carries ₹122 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Australia vs England 1st ODI match kaun jeetega?

KhelKing ke model ke mutabik England ka palda bhaari hai: 55%, jabki Australia ka 45%. Match Thu, 12 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

AUS vs ENG 1st ODI ke liye Perth ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, run-heavy rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the KhelKing model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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